Pebble Beach Pro-Am
Not so much a blog post, more an advice of a selection for the upcoming pro-am Golf in Pebble Beach.
Blake Adams has had a troubled career - injuries blighting his early years but progressively things improved throughout 2008 and 2009, where he led a tournament, but dropped two shots to finish second. Last year saw a top-10 finish at the Pebble Beach pro-am and a three-way tie for second in the Byron Nelson Championship.
He's one of just four entrants into this year's tournament who holds a course stroke average under 70 which should stand him in good stead for a crack at improving on second this year.
Betfair currently offer 450.0 for Adams to win the tournament, which represents a 0.22% chance of winning. In truth, I think they're probably right - if he's in a good position, he has history of dropping shots under pressure in the latter stages of a competition. I've staked 0.5 pts on the win with a view to laying off when his odds drop below 50.0.
Selection: Blake Adams @ 450.0 at Betfair. 0.5pts win.